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We derive risk-neutral option price formulas for plain-vanilla and exotic electricity futures derivatives on the basis of diverse arithmetic multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck spot price models admitting seasonality. In these setups, we take additional forward-looking knowledge on future price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034157
We derive risk-neutral option price formulas for plain-vanilla temperature futures derivatives on the basis of several multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature models which allow for seasonality in the mean level and volatility. Our main innovation consists in an incorporation of omnipresent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035450
Despite a culture of innovation, the U.S. health care system has been markedly deficient in its implementation of information technology (IT). Although recent initiatives have endeavored to remedy this shortcoming, fragmentation, high costs, information asymmetries, and evolving regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014147986
This paper builds on a theoretical model by Schnytzer, Lamers, and Makropoulou (2010) that conceptualizes fixed odds horse betting markets as implicit call option markets. We model the decision making process of a bookmaker that sets his prices under uncertainty. We extend the paper of Schnytzer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083122
Corporate control has added value for an investor since it gives degrees of freedom about the use of assets, sources of finance, salaries, etc. On the other hand, real options create value through the flexibility associated to the ability to react to some relevant uncertainty. The process of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323161
We study to what extent firms spread out their debt maturity dates across time, which we call granularity of corporate debt. We consider the role of debt granularity using a simple model in which a firm's inability to roll over expiring debt causes inefficiencies, such as costly asset sales or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327533
Comparative-statics results for financial options are often assumed to hold for real options. But the effects of higher volatility need not be increased value and postponed investment. This depends on signs of correlations and what parameters are held constant. For real options, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330217
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the influence of uncertainty on the value of real options while allowing for a possible change in the value of the underlying asset. We show that the proposition of a strictly positive influence of uncertainty does not hold, if the value of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011558716
It is well known that there is an intrinsic link between the financial and energy sectors, which can be analysed through their spillover effects, which are measures of how the shocks to returns in different assets affect each other's subsequent volatility in both spot and futures markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996068
La presente investigación tiene como objetivo principal desarrollar un análisis de toma de decisiones bajo incertidumbre a través de la aplicación de opciones reales en la evaluación de inversiones en proyectos mineros. Asimismo, se propone estudiar el comportamiento de los precios del oro,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011859390