Our aim is to develop a very offensive (‘aggressive’) tactical asset allocation strategy, by combining some of our previous models like Protected- (PAA), Vigilant- (VAA) and Defensive (DAA) Asset Allocation. We will call this new strategy the ‘Bold Asset Allocation’ (BAA). BAA combines a...

Regulatory stress tests have become the primary tool for setting capital requirements at the largest U.S. banks. The Federal Reserve uses confidential models to evaluate bank-specific outcomes for bank-specific portfolios in shared stress scenarios. As a matter of policy, the same models are...

On the capital market, as a result of company-specific news, price movements of stock corporations can be observed independent of overall market developments, which suggest the occurrence of a sudden risk event. In recent years, numerous concepts from statistical physics have been transferred to...

In applications of predictive modeling, such as insurance pricing, indirect or proxy discrimination is an issue of major concern. Namely, there exists the possibility that protected policyholder characteristics are implicitly inferred from non-protected ones by predictive models, and are thus...

An alternative definition for market efficiency, based on econometric rather than financial arguments is suggested. It is argued that this new definition, though equivalent to the existing one, has some comparative advantages. Moreover, the conditions under which the results from the application...

This paper analyzes India's monetary policy reaction function in the framework of the Taylor-type rule. The analysis uses quarterly data from the period 1997 Q1 to 2020 Q2. The study indicates the highly smooth interest rate changing behavior of the RBI. The estimation of the policy reaction...

The bedrock of financial economics is that there should be a tradeoff between risk and reward: an investment with low risk should have a low expected return, while one that could make you rich should also be one which could lose you a lot of money. A lot of research in finance is focused on...

The Present Value Model (PVM) – in which current security prices depend upon the present value of future discounted dividends, where the discount rate is equivalent to the required rate of return – is one of the long-standing principles of Finance Theory. The objective of this work is to...

We study the motivations of interbank market traders around the 2007-09 subprime crisis with a new statistic that reveals the underlying urgency to borrow overnight funds, which we call Trading Urgency. We find that Trading Urgency leads sovereign CDS spreads and reacts to non-standard central...

This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the reluctance of the banking sector to "lend" to the real economy induced by an exogenous change in financial intermediaries' preference for "high"...