The compute unified device architecture is an almost conventional programming approach for managing computations on a graphics processing unit (GPU) as a data-parallel computing device. With a maximum number of 240 cores in combination with a high memory bandwidth, a recent GPU offers resources...

Understanding correlations in complex systems is crucial in the face of turbulence, such as the ongoing financial crisis. However, in complex systems, such as financial systems, correlations are not constant but instead vary in time. Here we address the question of quantifying state-dependent...

The large number of financial crises in emerging markets over the past ten years has left many observers, both from academia and financial institutions, puzzled by an apparent lack of homogenous causal relations between endogenous economic variables and the bursting of large financial shocks....

We introduce a future orientation index to quantify the degree to which Internet users worldwide seek more information about years in the future than years in the past. We analyse Google logs and find a striking correlation between the country's GDP and the predisposition of its inhabitants to...

This paper extends the classic Samuelson (1970) and Merton (1973) model of optimal portfolio allocation with one risky asset and a riskless one to include the effect of the skewness. Using an extended version of Stein's Lemma, we provide the explicit solution for optimal demand that holds for...

In this paper we update our 2006 white paper ldquo;A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocationrdquo; with new data from the 2008-2012 period. How well did the purpose of the original paper ndash; to present a simple quantitative method that improves the risk-adjusted returns across...

It is customary in the empirical trade literature to analyze specialization patterns of countries using Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) measures. This paper explores the informational content of the most commonly used RCA index: the Balassa (1965) Index of RCA.After describing the...

We identify a 'risk news' shock in a vector autoregression (VAR), modifying Barsky and Sims's procedure, while incorporating sign restrictions to simultaneously identify monetary policy, technology and demand shocks. The VAR-identifed risk news shock is estimated to account for around 2%-12% of...

This article empirically analyses how investors with private material information decide in which regulatory regime, set by governments in different countries, to trade. We study put-call deviations (which indicate informed trading) for options written solely on U.S.-listed companies and for...

Despite the vast academic literature on modelling stochastic volatility, many finance practitioners still use the simple "RiskMetrics" approach of J. P. Morgan (1997), based on the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) volatility combined with the $\sqrt{h}$-rule for scaling volatility...