Nagel, Stefan; Xu, Zhengyang - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
counterfactual stock market index price change that results purely from the change in the default-free yield curve induced by the … monetary policy surprise. The yield curve change in turn partly reflects a change in expected future short-term interest rates …/odd week FOMC cycle in stock index returns is also largely due to an FOMC cycle in the yield curve rather than the equity …