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Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …
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population growth has lowered both the natural rate and inflation by about 0.4 percentage points in recent decades. …
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This paper estimates expected future real interest rates and inflation rates from observed prices of UK government …-linked bonds. It assumes that expected log returns on all bonds are equal, and that expected real interest rates and inflation … inflation expectations forecast actual future inflation more accurately than nominal yields do. The estimated real interest rate …
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