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1 Abstract -- 2 Introduction -- 3 Chapter I: Literature on the subject of excess volatility -- 4 Chapter II: Excess volatility beyond discount rates -- 5 Chapter III: Evidence of excess volatility in the Eurozone market -- 6 Conclusions.
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Economic theory predicts that intertemporal decisions depend critically on expectations about future outcomes. Using …
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This note generalizes Feldstein's (1976) criticism of Barro's(1974) analysis for the case that the interest rate exceeds the growth rate. This is done by considering an economy in steady state where all agents hold "Barro expectations": they believe that government debt must necessarily be...
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We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
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