Die führenden Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute senken ihre BIP-Wachstumsprognose für 2021 von 3,7 % auf 2,4 %. Dafür ist insbesondere die schwächelnde Industrieproduktion verantwortlich, die unter Lieferengpässen leidet. Die internationale Konjunktur erholt sich zwar von den Verwerfungen der...

Dieser Beitrag diskutiert die Grundlagen des P*-Ansatzes und vergleicht seine Prognoseleistung mit derjenigen nicht-monetärer Inflationsindikatoren für den Euro-Raum. Die Relevanz der Quantitätstheorie, die Stabilität der Geldnachfrage und die Rolle von Geldmengen im Transmissionsmechanismus...

Most of the Euro-zone economic short-term indicators are computed through aggregation from Member States data. The seasonally adjusted figures can be calculated by seasonally adjusting the aggregate (direct approach) or aggregating the seasonally adjusted national data (indirect approach)....

There is strong empirical evidence that countries with lower per capita income tend to have smaller trade volumes even after controlling for aggregate income. Furthermore, poorer countries do not just trade less, but have a lower number of trading partners. In this paper, I construct and...

"Access to new information and communication technologies (ICT) remains extremely unequally distributed across and within societies. While there have been a good deal of popular discussions about this "digital divide", not much is known about the quantitative significance of its various...

This study examines the differences in the effectiveness of de jure capital restrictions across economies in different regions (Asia versus non-Asia) and with varying income levels. It uses a panel of 45 economies over the period 1995– 2007. The results show that differences in regional and...

One of developing Asia's foremost structural economic challenges is the need to rebalance demand and growth toward domestic sources in the face of one of its most significant structural shifts - the demographic transition to an older population. The scope for investment-led growth may be quite...

This volume was prepared by Benedikt Heid while he was working at the ifo Institute and the University of Bayreuth. It was completed in December 2013 and accepted as a doctoral thesis by the Department of Economics at the Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München. It includes six self-contained...

Gegenstand der Studie ist die Quantifizierung des gleichsam automatischen Einflusses der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf einzelne Budgetkomponenten und das Budget insgesamt, um den Effekt einer hypothetischen Änderung in der Entwicklung des Outputs auf das Budget und das Defizit abzuschätzen...