We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries using panel unit root and cointegration analyses. Results show: no cointegration (no sustainability) between revenues and expenditures; improvement of the primary balances after worsening debt ratios; causality from government...

This paper investigates the relationship between public capital expenditure and public debt in the European Union (EU) on a panel of fifteen countries over the sample period 1980-2013. We find robust evidence of a negative cointegrating relation, according to which increases in the capital...

In this paper we describe some interesting applications of the Coalitional Game in Cancer Diagnosis. Particularly we illustrate specific studies that starting from the description of the Microarray Technology apply game theoretical tools able to improve the analysis of genes’ expression data....

This article focuses on the costs and benefits of a fiscal consolidation in a small euro area economy. The macroeconomic impacts and the welfare analysis are conducted in a New-Keynesian general equilibrium model with non-Ricardian agents. We define a benchmark fiscal consolidation strategy...

The financial crisis and ensuing economic meltdown has led to sharp increases in the deficits and debt levels of many advanced economies. The run-up in public sector indebtedness helped to restore private sector balance sheets, laying the foundation for economic recovery in these regions. But...

L’article utilise un modèle à générations imbriquées pour analyser les effets d’une relance budgétaire mise en oeuvre dans une union monétaire par un gouvernement qui doit tenir compte de la nécessité de réduire ses dépenses publiques dans le futur conformément à une règle de...

The aim of this paper is to analyze how the primary government balance in Central and Eastern European countries reacts in the short term, in order to assess fiscal sustainability in the long run. For the purpose of this study, a fiscal reaction function is used. Given the different orders of...

Fiscal policy was key determinant of macroeconomic behavior during the 80s, however it is necessary to distinguish the effects of shocks over fiscal policy from those resulting of policy decisions. For that purpose the study uses, with an adjustment, the methodology developed by Marshall and...

I use a panel of semi-annual vintages of growth and fiscal forecasts of the European Commission, covering the period 1998:II-2008:II, to assess its effects on 10-year government yields for 14 EU countries. Results show that yields increase with better growth forecasts, and with decreases in...

We estimate changes in fiscal policy regimes in Portugal with a Markov Switching regression of fiscal policy rules for the period 1978-2007, using a new dataset of fiscal quarterly series. We find evidence of a deficit bias, while repeated reversals of taxes making the budget procyclical....