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We follow the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate approach by Clark and MacDonald (1998) to derive equilibrium real effective exchange rates and currency misalignments for the US and its 16 major trading partners. We apply cointegration and panel cointegration techniques to derive fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345474
We examine the daily exchange rate dynamics in selected new EU member states (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia) using GARCH and TARCH models between 1999 and 2006. Despite these countries adopted inflation targeting regime, they occasionally tried to manage their exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264218
In this paper we propose a simple extension to the panel case of the covariate-augmented Dickey Fuller (CADF) test for unit roots developed in Hansen (1995). The extension we propose is based on a p-values combination approach that takes into account cross-section dependence. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290982
Traditional assessments of the impact of exchange rate depreciation or appreciation on trade have involved estimating the elasticity of trade volume to relative prices.Such studies relied heavily on aggregated trade data.More recent studies employ bilateral trade data and methodologies such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148522
We follow the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate approach by Clark and MacDonald (1998) to derive equilibrium real effective exchange rates and currency misalignments for the US and its 16 major trading partners. We apply cointegration and panel cointegration techniques to derive fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374380
In this paper we propose a simple extension to the panel case of the covariate-augmented Dickey Fuller (CADF) test for unit roots developed in Hansen (1995). The extension we propose is based on a p-values combination approach that takes into account cross-section dependence. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009686159
Purchasing power parity (PPP) is an important benchmark model in international finance. Recent literature emphasizes that panel unit root tests have higher power than univariate unit root tests. The results from the ADF unit root test also support the recent literature. Using four panel data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160271
We investigate the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, traded and nontraded productivity levels, and government spending for 14 OECD countries, using recently developed panel cointegration tests. The results indicate that under certain assumptions it is easier to detect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782301
Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect standard errors because of serial correlation in the context of panel probit regressions. This paper documents the magnitude of the problem proposes and tests a solution and applies it to previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783220
In this study, we mainly investigate how the domestic factors of China (trade openness, Kaopen, real interest rate, real government consumption and real GDP) affect the real exchange rate using Ridge regression and the VAR model from 1970-2015. The empirical results show, in the short run, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952382