The same factors that determine the current market price of a property also determine the price of a future investor will pay for that property. Previous researchers had no means available to endogenize future resale prices and future optimal holding periods. Using dynamic programming, we...

Option-based models of mortgage default posit that the central measure of default risk is the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. We argue, however, that an unrecognized problem with extending the basic option model to existing multifamily and commercial mortgages is that key variables in the option...

Despite their widespreao use as benchmarks of U.S. commercial real estate returns, indexes produced by the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) are subject to measurement problems that severely impair their ability to capture the true risk-return...

As current editors of "Real Estate Economics" ("REE") we feel it is our responsibility to offer our readers some comments regarding the preceding article by Gibler and Ziobrowski. Our comments are intended to convey our policy regarding publication of articles of this nature, as well as some...

Despite the growth of theoretical mortgage-pricing research, few empirical tests have been published. The primary objective of this paper is to provide an empirical test of the contingent-claims approach to pricing residential mortgages. This is accomplished by examining the differences between...

Residential mortgage borrowers frequently appear to behave suboptimally with respect to their mortgage prepayment options. Many borrowers fail to exercise even well-into-the-money options while others prepay when the call option is out-of-the-money. To account for these apparently suboptimal...

This article develops an income property valuation model that explicitly incorporates the effects of local market conditions. In particular, the model allows real rents to respond to a change in tax law, or to any exogenous shock to the system, with the dynamics of the rent change over time...

We examine the ability of experts, specifically institutional owners and managers, to predict commercial real estate return performance in major metropolitan markets and on various property types. We find no evidence that the consensus opinions on investment conditions contained in Real Estate...