We conduct efficiency test using the conventional method in Chordia, Roll, and Subrahmanyam (2005) and the wavelet analysis. For the FTSE-100 futures data from January 2001 through December 2004, both approaches identify that, conditional on order imbalance, it takes about 10 minutes for the...

There is compelling evidence that typical decision-makers, including individual investors and even professional money managers, care about the difference between their portfolio returns and a reference point, or benchmark return. In the context of financial markets, likely benchmarks against...

This paper develops a securities market model in which participants' beliefs diverge and prices are monotonic in beliefs. Relative to rational expectations (i.e., correct and unanimous beliefs), overconfidence among uninformed traders about the precision of experts' information leads to...

This paper applies stochastic dominance (SD) tests to examine the dominance relationship between the futures and spot markets in Malaysia, the preferences for the risk-averse and risk-seekers in these markets, the existence of arbitrage opportunities, and whether the markets are efficient and...

This paper employs gravity models to analyze the influence of Confucius Institutes (CI) on outward trade and FDI flows from China. We find significant increases in both Chinese exports and outward FDI flows to developing countries through establishment and operation of CIs, but little impact on...

This article introduces mark-to-market risk into the conventional futures hedging framework. It is shown that a hedger concerned with maximum daily loss will considerably reduce his futures position when the risk is taken into account. In case of a moderate hedge horizon, the hedger will hedge...

Edering (1979) proposed an effectiveness measure for futures hedging. Since then, this measure has been widely adopted in the literature to compare different hedge ratios against the OLS (ordinary least squares) hedge ratio. This note attempts to demonstrate this application is inappropriate....

In this paper, we examine how cash settlement affects the ability of the futures market to predict future spot prices. Adopting the Geweke feedback measure, we find that the feeder cattle futures contract improves its price discovery function after the cash settlement was adopted in August 1986....

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) abandoned the live hog futures contract (physical delivery) in December 1996 and replaced it with the lean hog futures contract (cash settlement), with the intention of improving the effectiveness of the contract as a risk management tool. This paper applies...

Prior to 1986, any opening position on feeder cattle futures contract must be settled with physical delivery after the last trading day. Due to dwindling commercial interests, Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) subsequently replaced the system with the cash settlement method. It was argued that...