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We examine exchange rate pass-through, or how domestic prices respond to exchange rate shocks, in the Czech Republic from 1998 to 2013 by employing vector autoregression models. Using the aggregate consumer price index and its sub-components, we find that the degree of passthrough is incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529885
minimizes the pitfalls associated with potential structural breaks. Exchange rate forecasting, inflation forecasting, output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011332
The marked turnaround in Russia's foreign trade in 2023 exerted strong downward pressure on the Russian rouble, which lost around 30% of its value. Global oil prices were declining in the first half of the year, the EU import embargo on Russian oil depressed prices even further; and on top of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065596
Tepid trade growth since the 2008/2009 global financial crisis (GFC) has been partly attributed to sluggish demand from developed countries. However, data reveals that developing countries play a bigger role in holding back trade growth, while developed countries show quite robust import growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980850
countries, US inflation rate and US output growth rate. For exchange rates, we use the dataset of Molodtsova and Papell (2009 … the forecasting ability of ‘simpler' economic models of exchange rates. With respect to US inflation and output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128737
The marked turnaround in Russia's foreign trade in 2023 exerted strong downward pressure on the Russian rouble, which lost around 30% of its value. Global oil prices were declining in the first half of the year, the EU import embargo on Russian oil depressed prices even further; and on top of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070595
. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
This paper studies the determinants of pricing-to-market at the firm-level, with a particular focus on the role of firm-specific and policy-induced market power. We use a large dataset containing export values and quantities by product and destination for all exporting firms in 12 developing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499520
Nominal exchange rates strongly co-move. However, little is known about the economic source of common variation. This paper examines how international trade links nominal exchange rates. First, I document that two countries that trade more intensively with each other have more correlated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014092887
Determinants of trade flows have always attracted researchers. In this paper, we model monthly trade flows in India over January 2000 - December 2007 in a bid to gauge their responsiveness to exchange rate movements. Capital account and overall BOP surplus have led the Indian Rupee (INR) to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146532