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This contribution shows that the persistence and the time of occurence of the shock matter in determining the long … disturbance, (ii) real expense may rise or fall in the long-run after an anticipated future permanent negative external shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004984841
The authors use the Bank of Canada's version of the Global Economy Model, a multi-country, multi-sector dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with an active banking system (the BoC-GEM-FIN), to study the evolution of global current account balances following the recent global financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981363
A dynamic stochastic model of global equilibrium, where countries outside the U.S. face higher risk than the U.S. itself, predicts current account surpluses in the RoW and U.S. deficits. With Loss Aversion, such precautionary savings can cause substantial 'global imbalances', particularly if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177112
theory of optimum currency areas. We show that the asymmetric shock of the German unification can be seen not only as the … round of monetary expansion in the EMU. -- monetary union ; German unification ; asymmetric shock ; current account … imbalances ; inter-temporal savings ; financial crisis ; euro crisis ; European debt crisis ; theory of optimum currency areas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798227
identify trend and transitory shocks to U.S. productivity using generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103623
methodologies, present value tests and a productivity shock approach as formulated in Glick and Rogoff (1995). In previous work …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014111087
theory of optimum currency areas. We show that the asymmetric shock of the German unification can be seen not only as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094029
the source of debt which is most sensitive to shocks is foreign funding. In fact, any shock creates a wedge between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316721
of semi-structural equations from national accounting principle and the principle that external balances for the world as …-structural equations give much more plausible estimation results for saving and investment than conventional specification. -- Demography …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003767733