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Economic theory suggests that a permanent rise in terms of trade should result in a permanent rise in the standard of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006651
A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to efficient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319477
This paper proposes an integrated framework to analyze jointly two key issues: the emergence of global imbalances and the precautionary motive for accumulating reserves. Standard models of general equilibrium would predict modest current account surpluses in the emerging markets if they face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775798
The global imbalances of the 2000s and the recent global financial crisis are intimately connected. Both originate in the combination of economic policies adopted by the two key economies, the US and China. Global financial markets served as a transmission belt, both during the boom as during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003934687
Our paper investigates whether the valuation effect caused by a large risk premium and a low risk-free rate can help to explain the enormous US current account and trade deficit observed in the past decade. To answer this question, we set up an endowment growth model in which investors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113683
the world. Second, a fraction of households in every country maintains a fixed share of equity in their portfolios. In our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107842
The world will experience dramatic demographic change over this century. This paper examines the impacts of this global …-sector general equilibrium model. Using a detailed structural model, we simulate demographic shocks of six regions in the world … economy as well as Australian own demographic shock to investigate their impacts on Australian macroeconomic conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838076
demographic shocks in six regions of the world economy to understand how each shock individually affects the world economy and …The world has been experiencing dramatic demographic change since the 1950s, with almost all countries facing ageing … change will have significant impacts on each region's GDP, which will change the landscape of the world economy. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838254
Our study shows that China could contribute to an orderly global rebalancing by a package of policies to stimulate its domestic consumption. These policies include a progressive appreciation of RMB, fiscal stimuli of increasing social expenditures on education, healthcare, social safety net and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724800
shock, achieve larger welfare gains by reducing default risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289445