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We propose two new jump-robust estimators of integrated variance based on high-frequency return observations. These MinRV and MedRV estimators provide an attractive alternative to the prevailing bipower and multipower variation measures. Specifically, the MedRV estimator has better theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008628319
In this paper, we derive a new algebraic property of two scales estimation in high frequency data, under which the effect of sampling times is cancelled to high order. This is a particular robustness property of the two scales construction. In general, irregular, asynchronous, or endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914838
Methodology is proposed of how to utilize high-frequency power-variation estimators in the Bayesian estimation of Stochastic-Volatility Jump-Diffusion (SVJD) models. Realized variance is used as an additional source of information for the estimation of stochastic variances, while the Z-Estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914862
Non-parametric approach to financial time series jump estimation, using the L-Estimator, is compared with the parametric approach utilizing a Stochastic-Volatility-Jump-Diffusion (SVJD) model, estimated with MCMC and extended with Particle Filters to estimate the out-sample evolution of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964932
We propose two new jump-robust estimators of integrated variance based on highfrequency return observations. These MinRV and MedRV estimators provide an attractive alternative to the prevailing bipower and multipower variation measures. Specifically, the MedRV estimator has better theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200896
This paper will outline the functionality available in the CovRegpy package for actuarial practitioners, wealth managers, fund managers, and portfolio analysts written in Python 3.7. The major contributions of CovRegpy can be found in the CovRegpy_DCC.py, CovRegpy_IFF.py, CovRegpy_RCR.py,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014253907
One of the most important factors to control for the achievements of investment portfolio returns is risk. If we only think that a 100% positive return is needed to recover a portfolio loss of 50%, we can understand why. With the advent of the exponential growth of technology usage in markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254526
In this paper, we propose a new test, based on the stability of the largest Lyapunov exponent from different sample sizes, to detect chaotic dynamics in time series. We apply this new test to the simulated data used in the single-blind controlled competition among tests for nonlinearity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014128475
A new resampling procedure, the continuous-path block bootstrap, is proposed in the context of testing for integrated (unit root) time series. The continuous-path block bootstrap (CBB) is a nonparametric procedure that successfully generates unit root integrated pseudo time series retaining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014133085
We propose a strategy for assessing structural stability in time-series frameworks when potential change dates are unknown. Existing tests for structural stability have proven to be effective in detecting the presence of structural change, but procedures for identifying timing are highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076106