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I develop an adaptive learning model to study the welfare effects of Social Security policy uncertainty in an aging economy. Agents combine full knowledge of the political process (which Social Security reforms are possible and when they could occur) with limited knowledge about the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850416
that, in theory and simulations, the learning rule does not converge to the rational expectations equilibrium (REE). We … previous forecast function. We show that in theory and simulations the two stage learning rule converges to the REE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195723
In the last half of the 1990s, labor productivity growth rose in the U.S. and fell almost everywhere in Europe. We … document changes in both capital deepening and multifactor productivity (MFP) growth in both the information and communication … technology (ICT) and non-ICT sectors. We view MFP growth in the ICT sector as investment-specific productivity (ISP) growth. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066453
This paper uses a dynamic general equilibrium two-country optimizing model to analyze the consequences of international capital mobility for the effectiveness of monetary policy in open economies. The model shows that the substitutability of goods produced in different countries plays a central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474961
savings, the RER only depends on productivity spread between sectors (Balassa-Samuelson effect). If the constraint is too … tight and/or domestic savings too low, the RER depends on both net foreign assets (transfer effect) and productivity. We … then analyze the empirical implications of the model and find that, in accordance with the theory, the RER is mainly driven …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008771344
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003863429
the source of debt which is most sensitive to shocks is foreign funding. In fact, any shock creates a wedge between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009490166
After an expansionary monetary policy shock employment increases and unemployment falls. In standard New Keynesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009405109