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The paper studies how a prolonged period of subdued price developments may induce a de-anchoring of inflation expectations from the central bank's objective. This is shown within a framework where agents form expectations using adaptive learning, choosing among a set of alternative forecasting...
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shock are discussed. Special attention is paid to the welfare effects for the different generations residing in either …
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In emerging market economies (EMEs), capital inflows are associated to productivity booms. However, the experience of … lead to lower productivity, possibly because of entry of less productive firms. We measure capital flow shocks as exogenous … variations in world real interest rates. We show that, in the data, lower real interest rates lead to lower productivity only in …
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on the economy is mitigated when compared to a two-pillar system, since each shock has a different impact on the three …
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I study the implications of productivity shocks in a model where agents observe the aggregate level of productivity but … shock is sluggish and peaks with delay; (ii) permanent shocks generate positive rather than negative savings on impact; and …
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