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This paper proposes and evaluates several market-based measures for US and eurozone individual bank tail risk and banking system risk. We apply statistical extreme value analysis to the tails of bank equity prices to estimate the likelihood of individual institutions financial distress as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101500
The big ten banks in Ghana are too profitable (in terms of what is socially optimal) and they earn much higher profits compared to other industries. Their excess profits are being made at the expense of the public and that they should contribute toward the public finances. We propose a bank tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845221
This paper derives indicators of the severity and structure of banking system risk from asymptotic interdependencies between banks%u2019 equity prices. We use new tools available from multivariate extreme value theory to estimate individual banks%u2019 exposure to each other (%u201Ccontagion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005088672
This paper suggests a model based on Poisson processes to estimate joint credit losses without the limitations of normality assumptions and non-negative correlation. Idiosyncratic and systematic risks are seen as “shocks” and defaults are driven by a latent variable (loans' lifetimes). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133967
VaR_Delta-Normal fails in two counts: subadditivity and potentially producing losses larger than its portfolio value. This paper solves the second inconsistency developing formulas derived from a put option, named PVaR_Delta-Normal and Put_Expected_Shortfall, PSF_Delta-Normal; the latter also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014636
The existing replication policies at top finance journals are far weaker than the policies at top economics journals. This paper explores both the costs and benefits of having a stronger replication policy in the context of my failed 2010 initiative to develop a unified policy across all top...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867841
We study the dependence between the downside risk of European banks and insurers. Since the downside risk of banks and insurers differs, an interesting question from a supervisory point of view is the risk reduction that derives from diversification within large banks and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325174
Asset encumbrance is a central concept in the context of banks' liquidity crises, as it is associated with their capacity to obtain secured funding. This occasional paper summarises the work carried out by the task force on asset encumbrance, bringing together analyses by the ECB and those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661643
We study the dependence between the downside risk of European banks and insurers. Since the downside risk of banks and insurers differs, an interesting question from a supervisory point of view is the risk reduction that derives from diversification within large banks and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346454
Previous studies that aim to determine factors impacting the deposit insurer's loss arising from bank failures use standard econometric techniques that assume the losses are homogeneously driven by the same set of explanatory variables: However, deposit insurers are particularly concerned about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726998