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The use of equilibrium models in economics springs from the desire for parsimonious models of economic phenomena that take human reasoning into account. This approach has been the cornerstone of modern economic theory. We explain why this is so, extolling the virtues of equilibrium theory; then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004976721
Episodes of market crashes have fascinated economists for centuries. Although many academics, practitioners and policy makers have studied questions related to collapsing asset price bubbles, there is little consensus yet about their causes and effects. This review and essay evaluates some of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004976970
The paper examines the role of foreign stock marketsí price and volatility movements in the price and volatility movements in the Estonian stock market. Using daily log returns from July 8th, 1996 through December 31st, 2003 and applying a VAR-EGARCH framework, the author finds that there is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977322
In recent years, person-to-person wagering on Internet ‘betting exchanges’ (sometimes known as ‘matched betting’) has become an increasingly important medium for betting on horse racing, sports and special events. Established gambling operators have argued that betting exchanges should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980075
This paper takes a closer look at the puzzle uncovered by Driesprong et al. (2008) and finds empirical support for the "oil effect" in equity returns. Using forty nine US industry-level returns series and changes in oil spot and future prices, we address whether industry-level returns are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980390
This paper seeks to identify why stock prices behave the way they do. We find that conventional economic theories are unable to explain why there are so many long bull and bear markets. We suggest that it is investor expectations of future market movements, based on their views of other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004985637
We investigate the profitability of the quantitative market timing technique of candlestick technical analysis in the U.S. equity market. Despite being used for centuries in Japan and now having a wide following amongst market practitioners globally, there is little research documenting its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004985653
We analyze the effect of taxes and government spending on quarterly market returns of stocks, government bonds, and corporate bonds. In US data from 1960 to 2000, a one standard deviation increase in the share of tax receipts in GDP has a statistically and economically significant effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005120795
We analyse the spillover of the turmoil in money markets in the second half of 2007 to FX swap and long-term cross-currency basis swap markets. We find that the use of swap markets to overcome US dollar funding shortages by non-US financial institutions resulted in marked deviations from covered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005121403
The ABX family of indices has become a key barometer of subprime mortgage market conditions during the recent financial crisis. Simple regression analysis illustrates the relationship between observed index returns and proxies of default risk, interest rates, market liquidity and risk appetite....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005121411