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Trend extrapolation in financial markets has been well documented, however it is contentious as to which trends will be extrapolated or mean reverted. We examine whether investors are more likely to extrapolate trends that they perceive to be salient by examining an investment strategy that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905013
This paper is set up to dissect the covariance patterns of the returns on the commodity and equity markets. Analyzing monthly return data from 1970:M1 to 2013M7, the results show that returns on the commodity and equity markets co-vary weakly in the opposite direction (r=-0.12) in the 1970s,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905271
U.S. stocks are more volatile than stocks of similar foreign firms. A firm's stock return volatility can be higher for reasons that contribute positively (good volatility) or negatively (bad volatility) to shareholder wealth and economic growth. We find that the volatility of U.S. firms is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905361
From 1991 to 2006, U.S. stocks are more volatile than stocks of similar foreign firms. A firm's stock return volatility in a country can be higher than the stock return volatility of a similar firm in another country for reasons that contribute positively (good volatility) or negatively (bad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905943
We investigate whether the hypothesis of money illusion can explain the negative or non-existent stock returns and inflation co-movement, and lead to deviations from the CAPM-implied risk-return relation in ten Central Eastern European (CEE) markets. We employ the Cohen, Polk and Vuolteenaho...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906159
Movements in the stock market should reflect expectations regarding future economic conditions and lead the macroeconomy. However, evidence for stock returns providing such predictive power is mixed. We argue this arises as stock returns are noisy and consider the predictive ability of derived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909203
This paper provides a Bayesian test of parameter nonstationarity and an estimation procedure for the detection of change points in the time series of stock returns. The empirical results indicate that this procedure can identify the change points in the data without prior knowledge and provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909305
Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative relationship between equity ivol and expected returns. We show that the effect is caused by the nonlinear payoff of equity and the law of one price, and is present in all but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
The purpose of this paper is to examine the pre- and post-holiday returns the Dhaka Stock Exchange, leading stock exchange of Bangladesh. To conduct the study index value of two market indices have been collected, those are DSE general index (DSEX) and DSE 30 index (DS30), from the period of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910991
In this paper, we use event studies to estimate the effects of changes to a public firm's board of trustees on stock returns. The goal is to determine whether the gender of an incoming board member is perceived differently by investors. Scholarly findings on gender and leadership have been mixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889129