We evaluate real estate investment trust (REIT) responses to the release of REIT-specific and macroeconomic news over two periods with differing economic climates. More specifically, using high-frequency data, we track the response function over a period of 60 minutes following each...

We test for the presence of low-dimensional chaotic structure in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index. While we find strong evidence of nonlinear dependencies, the evidence is not consistent with chaos. Our test results indicate that ARCH-type processes generally explain the nonlinearities...

This study examines the relationship between the level of futures trading activity in five currencies and the variability in the underlying exchange rate changes. The conditional variance from the GARCH model is employed as the proxy for the exchange rate volatility. The evidence indicates that...

This paper examines the information content of implied volatility for crude oil options as it relates to future realized volatility. Using data for the period 1996 to 2011 we find that implied volatility is an effective predictor of the month-ahead realized volatility. We show that implied...

This paper examines the information content of risk-neutral moments to explain crude oil futures returns. Implied volatility and higher moments are extracted from observed crude oil option prices using a model-free implied volatility framework and the Black-Scholes model. We find a tenuous and...

To establish stock-versus-flow orientations of a commodity, the mediating role of inventories in price formation is considered. This framework is tested by examining responses of COMEX gold, silver, and copper to macroeconomic news releases. Standard responsiveness-tests, which ignore the role...

We investigate short-term index options for behavioral biases implied in prospect theory (PT). Intraday price and transactions patterns generally support the theory. Losers are seen to be relatively risk seeking and winners to be risk averse, with the former effect appearing stronger. On...