We estimate the transmission of the pandemic shock in 2020 to prices in the residential and commercial real estate market by causal machine learning, using new granular data at the municipal level for Germany. We exploit differences in the incidence of Covid infections or short-time work at the...

Prior to the financial crisis in the mid-2000, house prices increased dramatically and most economists agree that part of the increase in Danish house prices can be characterized as a house- price bubble. The emergence of a house-price bubble can have sizeable implications for macroeconomic as...

The recent increase in house prices across the OECD highlights again the importance of understanding the different determinants of residential property demand. Sustained activity in housing markets across a number of countries was one of the contributing factors to the financial sector...

The paper presents a general method for estimating a country's level of fundamental house prices and its interaction with actual house prices. We set up a unified empirical model which can be used to analyze the time-series behavior of the fundamental house price and to test various hypotheses...

Finanzmarktkrisen entstehen häufig in Folge von Immobilienpreisblasen. In dieser Arbeit wird die Entstehung von Immobilienpreisblasen unter Berücksichtigung der spezifischen Eigenschaften von Immobilienmärkten sowie von Wechselwirkungen zwischen Immobilien- und Finanzmärkten untersucht und...

We investigate the behavior of the equilibrium price-rent ratio for housing in a simple Lucas-type asset pricing model. We allow for time-varying risk aversion (via external habit formation) and time-varying persistence and volatility in the stochastic process for rent growth, consistent with...

We use a simple quantitative asset pricing model to "reverse-engineer" the sequences of stochastic shocks to housing demand and lending standards that are needed to exactly replicate the boom-bust patterns in U.S. household real estate value and mortgage debt over the period 1995 to 2012....

The recent increase in Chinese house prices has led to concerns that China is vulnerable to asset price shocks. In this paper, we apply recently developed recursive unit root tests to spot the beginning and the end of potential speculative bubbles in Chinese house price cycles. Overall, we find...

The paper investigates the characteristics of house price dynamics and the role of institutional features in nine Asia-Pacific economies during 1993-2006. On average, house prices tend to be more volatile in markets with lower supply elasticity and a more flexible business environment. At the...

Während direkte Immobilieninvestments lang Zeit als renditeträchtig bei gleichzeitig begrenztem Risiko galten, führte den Anlegern insbesondere die gegenwärtige Finanzmarktkrise vor Augen, dass auch Immobilienanlagen insbesondere in den USamerikanischen Häusermarkt mit hohen Risiken...