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The term `financialization' describes the phenomenon that commodity contracts are traded for purely financial reasons and not for motives rooted in the real economy. Recently, financialization has been made responsible for causing adverse welfare effects especially for low-income and low-wealth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448180
In der Juniausgabe 2015 veröffentlichte der Wirtschaftsdienst einen Aufsatz von Christian A. Conrad über "Die Auswirkungen der Spekulation mit Nahrungsmitteln und Rohstoffen". Nach einer Replik von Ingo Pies hierzu eine Erwiderung von Christian A. Conrad.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404461
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535531
In a well-functioning futures market, the futures price at expiration equals the price of the underlying asset. This condition failed to hold in grain markets for most of 2005-10. During this period, futures contracts expired up to 35% above the cash grain price. We develop a rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119102
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120799
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year 12 of a projected 25), it is vital to understand that production cost is a fundamental. Moreover, marginal production costs are among the most powerful drivers of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
The complexity of managing physical and financial risk throughout the commodity production, processing and merchandising chain presents numerous challenges. To solve this problem commercials are increasingly turning to Energy and Commodity Transaction Risk Management (E/CTRM) systems. Still,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102576
This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt four indexes of speculation: Working's T, the market share of non-commercial traders, the percentage of net long speculators over total open interest in future markets, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081164
In this paper we examine the effects of media coverage of commodity prices increases and decreases on the price of the commodity and how media coverage in other commodities affects prices. We provide evidence of the relationship between media coverage and its intensity to the price level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081688
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091156