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There has recently been growing interest in modeling and estimating alternative continuous time multivariate stochastic volatility models. We propose a continuous timefractionally integrated Wishart stochastic volatility (FIWSV) process. We derive the conditional Laplace transform of the FIWSV...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257492
This study examines the key drivers of sovereign default risk in five euro area periphery countries and three euro-candidates that are currently pursuing independent monetary policies. We argue that the recent proliferation of sovereign risk premiums stems from both domestic and international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257986
This paper applies an alternative model to analyze criminal behaviour by countries based on real option models. Criminal options incorporate a richer framework than traditional cost-benefit models and allow examining the optimal timing of a crime as criminals have the possibility but not the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258005
In asset and derivative pricing, funding costs and capital costs are usually considered separately. A derivative will be funded at a given rate such as OIS, LIBOR or the bank’s cost of borrowing, and a cost of capital will be added separately. This paper presents a model that combines the two,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258119
People by and large tend to postpone their present consumption for numerous reasons. This postponement of consumption leaves them with surplus money to invest for future consumption. Amongst the number of alternatives avenues present for such investments, gold too tends to be one of them. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258372
We explore the pricing of variance risk by decomposing stocks' total variance into systematic and idiosyncratic return variances. While systematic variance risk exhibits a negative price of risk, common shocks to the variances of idiosyncratic returns carry a large positive risk premium. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854530
An exploratory estimation of ARFIMA(p,d,q) models showed that the estimated d is sensitive to the short-term dynamics included. To address this issue, I run a series of Monte Carlo experiments and test the performance (i) of the AIC and the SIC in selecting p and q and (ii) of the AIC, the SIC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854569
Methodological suggestions are made for two separate issues. First, I show how a consistent estimate of the level of the expected inflation can be gleaned from inflation swap rates. Second, I indicate how the dynamic general equilibrium model in question can be modified to generate the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855743
In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, the need to consider more realistic risk models for derivative products has received renewed attention. We introduce a dynamic model for the pricing of European-style options with various attractive features such as a mixture of heavy-tails and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891139
This paper examines the incentives from stock options for loss-averse employees subject to probability weighting. Employing the certainty equivalence principle, I built on insights from Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) to derive a continuous time model to value options from the perspective of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891141