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The ground-breaking Black-Scholes-Merton model has brought about a generation of derivative pricing models that have been successfully applied in the financial industry. It has been a long standing puzzle that the structural models of credit risk, as an application of the same modeling paradigm,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843268
By reinterpreting the calibration of structural models, a reassessment of the importance of the input variables is undertaken. The analysis shows that volatility is the key parameter to any calibration exercise, by several orders of magnitude. To maximize the sensitivity to volatility, a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843281
We show that time-varying volatility of volatility is a significant risk factor which affects the cross-section and the time-series of index and VIX option returns, beyond volatility risk itself. Volatility and volatility-of-volatility measures, identified modelfree from the option price data as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011849504
Using exchange rates futures instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot return and the premium. The correlation decreases with increasing maturity, presumably due to a latent risk premium. We hypothesize that the influence of the unobserved risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011849591
La presente investigación tiene como objetivo principal desarrollar un análisis de toma de decisiones bajo incertidumbre a través de la aplicación de opciones reales en la evaluación de inversiones en proyectos mineros. Asimismo, se propone estudiar el comportamiento de los precios del oro,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011859390
We examine how media coverage of fluctuations in the price of agricultural commodities affects these prices and their volatility. We develop a unified empirical framework to analyze the media's effects on both returns and volatility using insights from the literature. We use daily prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869299
We study how contingent capital affects banks' risk choices. When triggered in highly levered states, going-concern conversion reduces risk-taking incentives, unlike conversion at default by traditional bail-inable debt. Interestingly, contingent capital (CoCo) may be less risky than bail-inable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874695
The Emerging Market Economies are vulnerable to adverse external shocks. Such shocks cause excessive volatility in foreign exchange markets. Faced with high volatility, the central banks in EMEs often end up, in futility, depleting their foreign exchange reserves by selling dollars to restore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894427
We show that a common regulatory mandate in electricity markets that use location-based pricing that requires all customers to purchase their wholesale electricity at the same quantity-weighted average of the locational prices can increase the performance of imperfectly competitive wholesale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917060
We construct a model of strategic behavior in sequential markets which exhibits a persistent forward price premium. On the spot market, producers wield market power while purchasers are price takers. Producers with forward commitments have less incentive to raise prices on the spot market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917069