utilization currently being at normal levels, Germany is on the road to overheating in the next years. GDP growth is backed by … stimulate GDP growth somewhat but will not become a main driver of busi­ness cycle dynamics in Germany. …

high economic momentum prevailing in Germany. Inflation is picking up again after a marked interim dampening by the oil …

deflationary trends, which are visible nowhere in Germany. Public finances will continue to generate a surplus. The introduction of …

capital goods. In the meantime, the investment climate in Germany has also deteriorated noticeably. As a result, companies are …

quarter. Germany would thus formally be in a technical recession. However, the slowdown that began in 2018 has so far been a … that economic momentum in Germany has cooled off more than in many other countries. To some extent, this is due to the fact … weigh particularly on production in Germany. Against this backdrop, exports are likely to pick up only gradually. Private …

The ifo Institute is Germany’s largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the … paper gives a literature overview over existing studies that deal with the forecasting power of various ifo indicators both … powerful tool both for an in-depth business cycle diagnosis and for applied forecasting work. …