Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen; Qadan, Mahmoud - In: Journal of Risk and Financial Management 14 (2021) 12, pp. 1-39
The aim of this study is to test the ability of the yield curve on US government bonds to forecast the future evolution in the prices of commodities often used in as raw materials. We consider the monthly prices of nine commodities for more than 30 years. Our findings, confirmed by several...