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Debt levels in the eurozone have reached new record highs. The member countries have tried to cushion the economic … as well as with the hypothetical application of the new fiscal rule to eurozone economies from 2022 to 2026. Finally, we … take up the recent proposal by ESM economists to increase the permissible debt ratio from 60 to 100% of GDP in the eurozone. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798538
This paper examines the impact of budgetary institutions on public finances in the European Union on the basis of a critical survey of the relevant theoretical and empirical literature. In general, the authors find that fiscal institutions (namely fiscal rules) have successfully contributed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598898
Fiscal rules, such as the Excessive Deficit Procedure and the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP), aim at constraining government behavior. Milesi-Ferretti (2003) develops a model in which governments circumvent such rules by reverting to creative accounting. The amount of this depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366529
In this study, we will perform a simulation exercise to investigate whether the use of explicit fiscal rules improves the macroeconomic performance in the economic framework of the European Union (EU), where the fall in income levels occurred very asymmetrically, and this has accentuated the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252537
This paper examines the question whether joining EMU or the breach of the Stability and Growth Pact in 2003 had an impact on the deficit policy of member states. The empirical analysis gives no hint for an alteration of deficit policy after having joined EMU or after having breached the Pact in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488439
We project the path of the public debt and primary surpluses for a number of countries in the euro area under a fiscal rule based on a set of estimated fiscal policy reaction functions. Our fiscal rule represents a fiscal analogue to a well-known monetary policy rule, and it is calibrated using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235435
We will study in this paper the relation between public investment, public debt and fiscal rules in the European Union countries. The strict fiscal rules imposed by EU have negatively affected the investments. The decline in public investment in European Union is related to the fiscal rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964940
This paper analyses the track record of fiscal forecasts reported by 15 European countries in the context of the Excessive Deficit Procedure. For the budget balance, gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) and interest payments, we study the statistical properties of forecast errors and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628411
In the discussions of the need for fiscal rules and their usefulness in a monetary union researchers have not agreed on whether the financial markets have a sufficiently disciplining effect on the governments, which would mean that the fiscal rules are not necessary. This paper investigates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322210
The financial crisis of 2007-2009 led to a renewed increase in government deficits and debts in many EU countries, causing a full-fledged fiscal crisis in Greece and severe fiscal pressures in other euro-area countries. This has prompted a series of proposals for improving the fiscal framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430851