The objective of our study is to predict the financial losses that may result from natural disasters, along with their level of volatility, over a period of 1 to 15 years. Volatility can lead to significant fluctuations in Profit and Loss (P&L) for companies that are affected by unexpected...

Italian abstract: Lo scopo principale di questo lavoro è illustrare alcuni utili strumenti per stimare la perdita massima di un portafoglio dovuta ai rischi di credito e di controparte. La crisi finanziaria del 2007/2008 ha evidenziato, tra le altre cose, una inadeguata comprensione e gestione...

In this chapter, in Sect. 12.1 we provide a sketch of the Keynesian multiplier and the multiplier–accelerator model by Hansen and Samuelson. The description of the Kaldor model (Sect. 12.2) is introduced by the related literature (Sect. 12.2.1). As Kaldor described his model only...

R.G. Goodwin mentioned that "economists will be led, as natural scientists have been led, to seek in nonlinearities an explanation of the maintenance of oscillation" (Goodwin, Econometrica 19(1), 1951); following this reasoning, we studied business cycles as if they were generated by nonlinear...