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The present article deals with intra-horizon risk in models with jumps. Our general understanding of intra-horizon risk … quantifying market risk by strictly relying on point-in-time measures cannot be deemed a satisfactory approach in general. Instead …, we argue that complementing this approach by studying measures of risk that capture the magnitude of losses potentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179511
We analyze the relationship between uncertainty and economic growth expectations in Mexico through the Growth at Risk … measures of financial conditions, of economic policy uncertainty, and of risk exposure, as well as to alternative measurements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391253
The People's Republic of China's (PRC) remarkable growth performance over the last 3 decades has been associated to very robust export growth, so much so that many refer to it as a clear example of export-led growth (ELG). Using the concept of the balance-of-payments equilibrium (BOPE) growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011896368
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819475
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the variance of monetary shocks has a negative effect on growth, while output volatility is good for growth as a positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064774
of monetary shocks has a negative effect on growth, while output volatility is good for growth as a positive relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724736
Within a New Zealand business cycle context, we assess whether Hamilton's (H84) OLS regression methodology produces stylised business cycle facts which are materially different from HP1600 measures, and whether using the H84 predictor and other forecast extensions improves the HP filter's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828197
We investigate whether the boosted HP filter (bHP) proposed by Phillips and Shi (2021) might be preferred for New Zealand trend and growth cycle analysis, relative to using the standard HP filter (HP1600). We do this for a representative range of quarterly macroeconomic time series typically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259834
The persistent nature of equity volatility is investigated by means of a multi-factor stochastic volatility model with … model a time-varying generalization of the HAR model for the realized volatility series. It emerges that during the recent … stochastic volatility model suggest that the change in the dynamic structure of the realized volatility during the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402299