Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to derive a new option pricing model for options on futures calendar spreads. Calendar spread option volume has been low and a more precise model to price them could lead to lower bid-ask spreads as well as more accurate marking to market of open positions....

The paper develops a novel approach to account for serially dependent extreme price changes under the assumption that the tail distribution follows the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). Our approach can 1) detect serial dependence of extreme price changes, and 2) can be applied when...