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We consider fixed-smoothing asymptotics for the Diebold and Mariano (1995) test of predictive accuracy. We show that this approach delivers predictive accuracy tests that are correctly sized even when only a small number of out of sample observations are available. We apply the fixed-smoothing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934974
In a risk exchange, participants trade a privately owned risk for a share in a pool. If participants agree on a valuation rule, it can be decided whether or not, according to the given rule, these trades take place at equal value. If equality holds for all participants, then the exchange is said...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934982
We highlight caveats arising in the application of traditional ROA-based Z-scores for the measurement of bank insolvency risk, develop alternative Z-score measures to resolve these issues, and make recommendations for best practice for the US/Europe based on the experience of the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934985
During the last twenty years, literature has emerged researching into why an individual investor invests in high-fee index Mutual Funds (MF) while there are funds tracking the same index charging remarkably lower commissions. Another strand of literature has explored why those Exchange-Traded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935006
We provide a general and tractable framework under which all multiple yield curve modeling approaches based on affine processes, be it short rate, Libor market, or HJM modeling, can be consolidated. We model a numéraire process and multiplicative spreads between Libor rates and simply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935013
Landslide is one of the major hazards in Nepal resulting annual loss of more than 50 million Nepalese Rupees. Almost all of the landslide are caused by rainfall and occur during the monsoon season. Landslides, like other weather induced disasters, need significant resources to mitigate the risks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935015
insufficiently ambiguity averse. Consequently, the liquidity improvements can increase the value of information to informed traders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935016
Our research focuses on the storage decision in a semi-automated storage system, where the inventory is stored on mobile storage pods. In a typical system, each storage pod carries a mixture of items, and the inventory of each item is spread over multiple storage pods. These pods are transported...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935026
We use a natural experiment and matched bank/firm data to identify the effects of bank guarantees on allocative efficiency. We find that with guarantees in place unproductive firms invest more and maintain higher rates of sales growth. Moreover, firms produce less productively. Firms also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935027
The paper proposes a new Monte-Carlo simulator combining the advantages of Sequential Monte Carlo simulators and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo simulators. The result is a method that is robust to multimodality and complex shapes to use for inference in presence of difficult likelihoods or target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935032