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Quarterly GDP estimates for the German states

Lehmann, Robert; Wikman, Ida - 2022

calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2020, thereby improving the regional database in …-specific business cycles as well as in the degrees of cyclical concordance. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173579

Detecting turning points in global economic activity

Baumann, Ursel; Gómez Salvador, Ramón; Seitz, Franz - 2019

We present non-linear models to capture the turning points in global economic activity as well as in advanced and emerging economies from 1980 to 2017. We first estimate Markov Switching models within a univariate framework. These models support the relevance of three business cycle regimes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059037

Oil price changes and U.S. real GDP growth : is this time different?

Charfeddine, Lanouar; Klein, Tony; Walther, Thomas - 2018

This paper contributes to the large debate regarding the impact of oil price changes on U.S. GDP growth. Firstly, it … recent data up to 2016Q4. Secondly, it re-examines the issue and provides evidence that oil price decreases affect the GDP …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906502

Robust quarterization of GDP and determination of business cycle dates for IGC partner countries

BinMohd Tahir, Abdullah; Ahmed, Jameel; Ahmed, Waqas - 2018

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880450

Macroeconomics, nonlinearities, and the business cycle

Reif, Magnus - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134188

Estimating the trend in US real GDP using the l1 trend filtering

Yamada, Hiroshi - In: Applied economics letters 24 (2017) 10/12, pp. 713-716

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714160

A high-frequency GDP indicator for Switzerland

Kronenberg, Philipp - 2024

This paper presents a weekly GDP indicator for Switzerland, which addresses the limitations of existing economic … approximates weekly quarteron-quarter GDP growth for Switzerland and provides valuable information on the trajectory of GDP at high …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014562886

Quarterly GDP estimates for the German States : new data for business cycle analyses and long-run dynamics

Lehmann, Robert; Wikman, Ida - 2023

calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2021, thereby improving the regional database for … cyclical concordance. Long-run trends are found to vary tremendously, with positive developments in economically strong regions … and flat or even negative trends for economically much weaker states. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549105

How credible are Okun coefficients? : the gap version of Okun's law for G7 economies

Boďa, Martin; Považanová, Mariana - In: Economic change & restructuring 56 (2023) 3, pp. 1467-1514

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327666

A Check on the Robustness of Hamilton's Markov Switching Model Approach to the Economic Analysis of the Business Cycle

Boldin, Michael D. - 1998

This note explores the robustness of Hamilton's (Econometrica, 1989) two-regime Markov switching model framework for capturing business-cycle patterns. Applying his exact specification to a revised version of real GNP, I find parameter estimates that are similar to those he reported only when I...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088831