The consequences of successful public health interventions for social violence and conflict are largely unknown. This … violent events in African countries and sub-national regions. The effect pertains to social violence and unrest, not civil war …

This paper analyses future trends for intrastate conflict in Africa up to 2050 using the International Futures (IFs …) model. After reviewing the main post-Cold War patterns of conflict and instability on the continent, the paper discusses … seven key correlations associated with intrastate conflict in Africa. It then points to a number of reasons for the changing …

allow groups that have an interest in greater violence to trigger spirals of ethnic violence. I develop a formal model to … develop the theory and examine case evidence from a Christian-Muslim conflict in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia to determine its …