Alquist, Ron; Kilian, Lutz; Vigfusson, Robert J. - In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting : volume 2, part A, (pp. 427-507). 2013
into gains in out-of-sample forecast accuracy compared with conventional no-change forecasts? How useful are oil futures … baseline oil price forecast to alternative assumptions about future oil demand and oil supply conditions? How does one quantify …