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-called r-g. Whether the fiscal shock occurs when r-g is positive or negativematters for the size of the multiplier. Median … multiplier is inversely correlated with r-g. The calculationsare based on the estimates of a factor-augmented interacted panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243042
, this letter points out a downward bias in the estimation of Chinese government spending multiplier using the classical lag … significantly reacts to output shock counter-cyclically within a quarter, with the resulting government spending multiplier being 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323898
a Markov switching process. We find that the average government spending multiplier is significantly and persistently … inversely to their error variance. We then show that the multiplier is significantly smaller when volatility is high, consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012289271
a Markov switching process. We find that the average government spending multiplier is significantly and persistently … inversely to their error variance. We then show that the multiplier is significantly smaller when volatility is high, consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014092860
This paper investigates the role of informality in affecting the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier in a panel of 141 … size of the fiscal multiplier. This result holds irrespective of the levels of economic development and institutional …. Thus, informality raises the size of the unofficial multiplier. A higher degree of non-separability between public and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083505
a spending multiplier around unity when the economy is in an expansionary phase. The spending multiplier is greater and …. The tax revenue multiplier is negative and much smaller in magnitude than the spending multiplier. The results are robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013393435
government spending shocks, using Bayesian techniques for US data. I find the multiplier for government spending to be 1.12, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008736093
in the previous literature based on U.S. data - we find that the pooled government spending multiplier is small: below 0 ….2. This estimate, however, masks substantial heterogeneity: the debtfinanced spending multiplier is larger and can be well … above 1 if monetary policy is accommodative. The multiplier is especially large in recessions and when the government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305775
Using VAR analysis on US data, we show that unanticipated fiscal expansions boost private consumption and business formation. Models with an extensive investment margin, i.e. endogenous firm and product entry, have difficulties explaining these two phenomena simultaneously. Considering different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339394
We investigate the size of the multiplier at the ZLB in a New keynesian model. It ranges from around -0.25 to +1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251637