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commodity index series, this study assesses the impact significant and unexpected news announcements had on volatility between … return and volatility estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146702
Estimating volatility from recent high frequency data, we revisit the question of the smoothness of the volatility … process. Our main result is that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of … order 0.1, at any reasonable time scale. This leads us to model the log-volatility as a fractional Brownian motion with H<1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937722
The complexity of the world oil market has increased dramatically in recent years and new approaches are needed to understand, model, and forecast oil prices today. Many models have been explored and most of the papers and modeling projects referenced in this paper identify their own...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081058
This paper proposes a predictive maintenance policy using modified failure mode effect and criticality analysis (Mod-FMECA) technique. FMECA is used to identify failure modes, reasons, effects and criticality of the system (machine/plant) but in Mod-FMECA in addition to the analysis carried for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987127
In this paper there's a simulation study on evolutionary finance models from Evstigneev/Hens/Schenk-Hoppe and applies the scenario generation algorithm from Hoyland/Kaut/Wallace with moment matching. Further it shows with different dividend models which investment strategies perform best under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069001
Goal: ISO 31000 Risk Management (RM) recently re-defined risk as the effect of uncertainty on an organization's ability to meet the objectives. Earlier, it defined risk as a combination of the probability and scope of the (predicted) consequences. The revised ISO Risk advances beyond a static...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256748
We present a theory of homogeneous volatility bridge estimators for log-price stochastic processes. The main tool of … our theory is the parsimonious encoding of the information contained in the open, high and low prices of incomplete bridge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971317
than 30% of SP500 securities can have percentage change in volatility of more than 10% as a result of noise filtering …, variances (diagonal elements of the covariance matrix - squares of volatility) contain noise as well. Our noise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060877
. In multi-frequency finance, various phenomena have been observed, such as shocks, crashes, volatility clustering …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900909
econometric modelling (specification, estimation and evaluation). Based on the maximum likelihood theory, we device procedures for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058559