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The paper reports estimation results and technical details on the estimation of financial cycles for a global sample of 34 advanced and developing countries over the period 1960Q1-2015Q4, as well as introduces a database of financial cycles. We estimate several versions of financial cycles for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847208
changing world. By decomposing integration into global risk, local risk and estimation risk, we argue that greater integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949969
This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of global structural shocks for changes in financial conditions across a sample of emerging market economies. We disentangle four key drivers of global financial markets (oil supply shocks, global economic news shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009181
We analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, we analyze the dynamics of co-movement at different levels of aggregation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987786
US net capital inflows drive the international synchronization of house price growth. An increase (decrease) in US net capital inflows improves (tightens) US dollar funding conditions for non-US global banks, leading them to increase (decrease) foreign lending to third-party borrowing countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012420240
The paper investigates the impact of global liquidity on house prices around the world using a novel proxy measured by … from the financial centers are transmitted to local banks through bank flows. Focusing on the repo markets in the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902302
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305691
We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186798
This paper examines the investment behavior in debt securities across financial institutions with a particular focus on how they respond to price changes. For identification, we use security-level data from the German Microdatabase Securities Holdings Statistics. Our results suggest that banks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456487
This paper examines the investment behavior of different financial institutions in debt securities with a particular focus on their response to price changes. For identification, we use security-level data from the German Microdatabase Securities Holdings Statistics. Our results suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975050