Despite their incredible popularity and importance to modern capital markets, exchange traded funds (ETFs) are extremely difficult to compare side-by-side. Investors who successfully navigate the initial challenges of product choice overload, and opaque index construction methodology, soon...

This study is the first to document the impact of news sentiment on different classes of assets' returns (stocks, bonds, oil, natural gas, gold, commodities, and foreign exchange rate) during the COVID-19 pandemic. By using time-varying causality test, we find that the causality running from...

This paper analyses the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the share prices of gold firms, whose activities are spread across gold exploration, project development and gold mining with markedly different risk characteristics. We find evidence for COVID-induced stock market contagion leading...

Can economic theory help - forecasting key macroeconomic variables? This article aims to provide some insight into the question by drawing lessons from the literature. The definition of ‘economic theory’ includes a broad range of examples, such as accounting identities, disaggregation and...

In Nature’s Law, Elliott explained that the Fibonacci sequence provides a mathematical basis of the wave principle. In The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior and The New Science of Socionomics, Prechter explained how Fibonacci sequence exists at all those instances where growth is the...

This paper uses two economic shocks, a catastrophic earthquake, the Great East-Japan Earthquake, that hit Japan on March 11, 2011 and the pandemic in 2020, to determine if investors respond differently by the types of economic shocks. We analyze the factors affecting the abnormal returns during...

Neoclassical Economics and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) along with all its types have been a go to for investors since decades but why do almost all speculators tend to lose money while making their financial decisions? Stock market is the most vulnerable place towards uncertainty and...

Korean Abstract: 기술기반기업의 금융업 진출로 인한 핀테크의 확산은 이론적으로 기존 금융시스템에 긍정적인 영향과 부정적인 영향을 모두 미칠 수 있다. 본 연구는 핀테크의 금융서비스 확대가 금융안정에 긍정적인 영향과...

Machine learning (ML) is a novel method that has applications in asset pricing and that fits well within the problem of measurement in economics. Unlike econometrics, ML models are not designed for parameter estimation and inference, but similar to econometrics, they address, and may be better...

We study the relationship between credit expansions, macroeconomic fluctuations, and financial crises using a novel database on the sectoral distribution of private credit for 117 countries since 1940. We document that, during credit booms, credit flows disproportionately to the non-tradable...