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Poland underwent a quick transition of the economy, but its housing market and housing policy did not change quick enough. The economic growth that followed the EU accession lead to a rising housing demand, which was fuelled by quite cheap FX denominated mortgages. Those allowed many households...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982743
In this chapter, we review and discuss the large body of research that has developed over the past 10-plus years that explores the interconnection of macroeconomics, finance, and housing. We focus on three major topics—housing and the business cycle, housing and portfolio choice, and housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025303
Housing market developments are in the spotlight in Europe. Over-stretched valuations amid tightening financial conditions and a cost-of-living crisis have increased risks of a sustained downturn and exposed challenging trade-offs for macroprudential policy between ensuring financial system...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355770
Systemic risk must include the housing market, though economists have not generally focused on it. We begin construction of an agent-based model of the housing market with individual data from Washington, DC. Twenty years of success with agent-based models of mortgage prepayments give us hope...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109559
In this paper I estimate the impact of changes in real and financial wealth – proxied by house and stock market prices – on private consumption for a panel of sixteen emerging economies in Asia and Central and Eastern Europe. Using recent econometric techniques for heterogeneous panels, i.e....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110053
Die aktuellen Finanzmarktturbulenzen wurden durch Entwicklungen im Immobiliensektor ausgelöst. Vor diesem Hintergrund analysiert dieser Beitrag den Zusammenhang zwischen den Immobilienpreisen und der Geldmengen- und Kreditvolumensentwicklung für den Zeitraum 1992 -2006 (westdeutsche...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003904552
In this paper our main aim is to quantify the role that housing collateral plays for the monetary transmission mechanism. Furthermore, we want to explore the implications of the increase in household indebtedness, and specifically the loan-to-value ratio, in the last two decades. We set up a two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003960505
We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086308
Recent developments in US house prices mirror those of the 1996–2006 boom, but the recovery in construction activity has been weak. Using data for 254 US metropolitan areas, we show that housing supply elasticities have fallen markedly in recent years. Consistent with this, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843886
This paper studies the dynamic relationship among house prices, income and interest rate in 15 OECD countries. We find that any disequilibrium in the long-run cointegrating relationship among these variables is corrected by the subsequent movement in house prices in most of these countries. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039935