We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of … history. Step 2: relate the aggregate components to the overall unemployment rate using a factor model. Step 3: combine the …

Using data from the CPS this paper examines the role of birth-country networks on immigrants' unemployment duration … from 2001 to 2013. We find that networks significantly lower unemployment duration for all immigrants. Varying the effect … of networks over duration categories we find that networks are more effective in lowering duration for immigrants …

model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …We explore the extent to which composition, duration dependence, and labor force non-participation can account for the … sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional …

model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …We explore the extent to which composition, duration dependence, and labor force non-participation can account for the … sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional …

Using data from the CPS this paper examines the role of birth-country networks on immigrants' unemployment duration … from 2001 to 2013. We find that networks significantly lower unemployment duration for all immigrants. Varying the effect … of networks over duration categories we find that networks are more effective in lowering duration for immigrants …