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Examinations of the dynamics of daily returns and volatility in stock markets of the US, Hong Kong and mainland China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296721
leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect. We stress the importance of distinguishing between realized volatility and … implied volatility, and find that implied volatilities are essential for assessing the volatility feedback effect. The … leverage hypothesis asserts that return shocks lead to changes in conditional volatility, while the volatility feedback effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
In order to study the volatility spillovers / the transfer of volatilities from spot and futures markets for the period … VAR models for the volatilities can exhibit the nature of the change in volatility.In a heat wave, the conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131718
We propose a Conditional Autoregressive Wishart (CAW) model for the analysis of realized covariance matrices of asset returns. Our model assumes a generalized linear autoregressive moving average structure for the scale matrix of the Wishart distribution allowing to accommodate for complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133422
This paper examines various state-space and VAR model specifications to investigate the contributions of expected returns and expected dividend growth to movements in the price-dividend ratio. We show that both models involve serious inference problems that need to be dealt with carefully. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068462
vector autoregressions with Markov switching in heteroskedasticity. We decompose changes in futures price volatility into … and increases the hedging costs of producers and processors of oil when volatility is high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926240
estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying parameters. We use this method to study the time-varying relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441
We propose a mixed frequency stochastic volatility (MFSV) model for the dynamics of intraday asset return volatility …. In order to account for long-memory we separate stochastic daily and intraday volatility patterns by introducing a long …-run component that changes at daily frequency and a short-run component that captures the remaining intraday volatility dynamics. An …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903646
The study examines the return and volatility spillover among Asian stock markets in India, Hong Kong, Japan, China … bidirectional return, shock, and volatility spillover among most of the stock markets. The magnitude of volatility linkages is low … indicating weak integration of Asian stock markets. The study finds that own volatility spillover is higher than cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890259
Several novel large volatility matrix estimation methods have been developed based on the high-frequency financial data … matrix and facilitates estimation of large volatility matrices. However, for predicting future volatility matrices, these …. They often employ the approximate factor model that leads to a low-rank plus sparse structure for the integrated volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941598