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This paper is set to reconcile the existent conflicting empirical evidence on the effect of oil prices on stock prices. We estimate various nonlinear models where the response changes according to a first-order Markov switching process. More importantly, we model the transition probabilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352223
Did the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 change the volatility dynamics of stock markets? Using daily returns … comparison to these characteristics during the pre-9/11 period. Our results show that the volatility behavior changed … significantly after the terrorist attacks of 9/11. We show that this sudden shift in the volatility behavior cannot be explained by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094447
Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … testing for possible shifts in the transmission of volatility following the introduction of the euro and EU accession. Further …. Furthermore, whilst the introduction of the euro has had mixed effects, EU accession has resulted in an increase in volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500185
This paper offers empirical evidence on the power of Sornette et al's [2001] model of bubbles and crashes regarding the German stock market between 1960 and 2009. We identify relevant time periods and describe them with the function given by Sornette et al's model. Our results show some evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008937463
This paper presents theoretical models and their empirical results for the return and variance dynamics of German stocks. A factor structure is used in order to allow for a parsimonious modeling of the first two moments of returns. Dynamic factor models with GARCH dynamics (GARCH(1,1)-M,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407100
)variances of the Dow Jones and the German stock index DAX, we analyze intra-daily volatility spillovers between the US and German …-synchronous and partially overlapping opening hours of the two markets. We find evidence of significant short-term volatility … ('meteor-shower effects').Furthermore, we find that during the subprime crisis the general persistence of short-term volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106045
)variances of the US Dow Jones and the German stock index DAX, we analyze intra-daily volatility spillovers between the US and …-synchronous and partially overlapping opening hours of the two markets. We find evidence of significant short-term volatility …-term volatility shocks is considerably higher and the spillovers effects between the US and the German stock markets are significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009539877
of computational burden and estimation error. First the number of correlation coefficients to be estimated would grow … volatilities of stocks and implied volatility of the basket. To analyze this structure and the dynamics of the ICS we employ a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009665551
It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485