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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001584428
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339314
This paper examines the relative information shares of the Bund, i.e. the ten-year Euro bond future contract on German sovereign debt, versus two futures with shorter maturity. We find that the Bund is most important but does not dominate price discovery. The other contracts also have relevant -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979748
We revisit the role of time in measuring the price impact of trades using a new empirical method that combines spread decomposition and dynamic duration modeling. Previous studies which have addressed the issue in a vector-autoregressive framework conclude that times when markets are most active...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008856379
We examine the comovements between the output indexes of three German sectors (manufacturing, mining, and agriculture) and the three corresponding sectoral stock market indexes. It is found that data with and without seasonal adjustment give mixed results on the long-run interaction between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398919
Models recently studied by Farmer (2012, 2013, 2015) predict that, due to labor-market frictions and "animal spirits", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger-causality tests on more than half a century of data of German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415821
This paper considers the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. A partially linear error correction model is proposed where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. The model is estimated using data on the DAX index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750074
In this paper we consider the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. We propose a partially linear error correction model where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. We estimate our model using data on the DAX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003750067
developed countries (USA, UK, Japan, Germany and Canada). First, we analyze whether shocks and or volatility emanating from two … stock market returns. Second, under the hypothesis of common increased volatility, we investigate whether these states … volatility features. Additionally, apart from UK and Japanese cases, the responses of the stock market to an oil shock depend on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132614