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This paper proposes a methodology for building Multivariate Time-Varying STCC-GARCH models. The novel contributions in this area are the specification tests related to the correlation component, the extension of the general model to allow for additional correlation regimes, and a detailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281494
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended Girsanov principle that generalizes Duan's (1995) delta...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065375
Volatility is the measure of the dispersion from the actual returns. And volatility index (VIX) indicates the expected … market risk and investor's behavior. Therefore, this study aims to observe the volatility levels of the French CAC 40 VIX … econometric tool GARCH (1,1) and an econophysics tool Shannon entropy. This study will carry out a comparison between the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831632
Due to the high relevance of 1-day volatility forecasts and the increasing demand for zero-day-to-expiration (0DTE …) options on the S&P 500, the Cboe recently introduced the 1-Day Volatility Index (VIX1D). Compared to the longer …-term volatility indices of the VIX family, it is overall lower and more volatile, shows a weaker negative correlation with the S&P 500 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348712
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
reflect information-driven and noise-induced volatilities. We find that all volatility components reveal distinct dynamics and … significantly declines thereafter. Moreover, news-affected responses in all volatility components are influenced by order flow … imbalances. -- efficient return ; macroeconomic announcements ; microstructure noise ; informational volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952800
reflect information-driven and noise-induced volatilities. We find that all volatility components reveal distinct dynamics and … significantly declines thereafter. Moreover, news-affected responses in all volatility components are influenced by order flow … imbalances. -- Efficient Return ; Macroeconomic Announcements ; Microstructure Noise ; Informational Volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947458
In this paper we investigate the volatility structure of the German stock market index DAX and its constituents. Using … a recently developed test, we find a volatility break in 1997. Interestingly, not only is the volatility higher after … 1997 but the volatility persistence also increased. That means that there is a greater likelihood of high volatility days …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432267
Oil is perceived as a good diversification tool for stock markets. To fully understand this potential, we propose a new empirical methodology that combines generalized autoregressive score copula functions with high frequency data and allows us to capture and forecast the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499593