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This paper contributes to the literature on cryptocurrencies, portfolio management and estimation risk by comparing the performance of naïve diversification, Markowitz diversification and the advanced Black-Litterman model with VBCs that controls for estimation errors in a portfolio of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897358
Motivated by the seasonality found in equity returns, we create a Turn-of-the-Month (ToM) allocation strategy in the U.S. equity market and investigate its value in asset allocation. By using a wide variety of portfolio construction techniques in an attempt to address the impact of estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897814
Many papers in recent years have examined the benefits of adding alternative assets to traditional portfolios containing stocks and bonds. Bitcoin has emerged as a new alternative investment for investors which has attracted much attention from the media and investors alike. However relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898762
This paper contributes to the literature on cryptocurrencies by examining the performance of naïve (1/N) and optimal (Markowitz) diversification in a portfolio of four popular cryptocurrencies. We employ weekly data with weekly rebalancing and show there is very little to select between naïve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898860
This paper investigates liquidity spillovers between the US and European interbank market during turbulent and tranquil periods. We show that an endogenous model with time-varying transition probabilities is effective in describing the propagation of liquidity shocks within the interbank market,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936358
This study investigates an early warning indicator for liquidity shortages in the short-term interbank market. To identify structural breaks and their persistence, an autoregressive two-state regime switching model is presented. The variability in the LIBOR-OIS spread along with thresholds,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003634
This paper provides strong evidence of time-varying return predictability of three precious metals from January 1987 to September 2014. We use three variations of the variance ratio test, the nonlinear BDS test as well as the Hurst exponent to evaluate the time-varying return predictability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004057
Bitcoin futures were introduced in December 2017 and was seen by some as a sign that the most popular cryptocurrency was being accepted by the financial community. In this paper, we examine what the Bitcoin market would look like if Bitcoin futures were never introduced. We implement a Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858946
We examine the association of the Bitcoin price crash risk with economic uncertainty and behavioral factors. We show that economic uncertainty displays a negative and significant association with Bitcoin price crash risk, indicating that when economic uncertainty is high, the crash risk of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860745
Previous research has identified that investors place more emphasis on technical analysis than fundamental analysis, however the research has largely been confined to daily data and stock market indices. This paper studies whether intraday technical trading rules produce significant payoffs in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016784