Showing 1 - 10 of 685,735
This paper studies market selection in an Arrow-Debreu economy with complete markets where agents learn over misspecified models. Under model misspecification, standard Bayesian learning loses its formal justification and biased learning processes may provide a selection advantage. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283575
Arguing that in the real world relatively optimistic inexperienced investors are prey for relatively pessimistic veteran traders, we formalize this intuitive conjecture as a proven proposition in a simple model. This agreement to disagree leads to a perpetual bubble, in which more experienced,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064782
This note extends the CAPM to situations where a subset of investors is not mean-variance optimizers. We show that a CAPM relation holds when suitably adjusting beta to the presence of such investors. The adjusted CAPM can be used to reveal which non-mean-variance behavior is needed to explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858784
The paper shows how the standard two-period CAPM with exogenous wealth and exogenous returns can be extended inter-temporally by including the evolution of wealth from the Evolutionary Finance model of Evstigneev, Hens and Schenk-Hoppe (2011). The missing link between the two models is given by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800950
This article features an interdisciplinary debate and dialogue about the nature of mind, perception, and rationality. Scholars from a range of disciplines — cognitive science, applied and experimental psychology, behavioral economics, and biology — offer critiques and commentaries of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945787
Seeing — perception and vision — is implicitly the fundamental building block of the literature on rationality and cognition. Herbert Simon and Daniel Kahneman's arguments against the omniscience of economic agents — and the concept of bounded rationality — depend critically on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966336
Effective financial reporting requires efficient information processing. This paper studies factors that determine efficient information processing. I exploit a unique small business lending setting where I am able to observe the entire codified demographic and accounting information set that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239248
This paper analyses the links between advances in financial technology, investors' sophistication, and their financial portfolios' composition and returns. We develop a simple portfolio choice model under asymmetric information and derive some theoretical predictions. Using detailed micro data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350321
This paper proposes an operationally simple and easily generalizable methodology to incorporate climate change damage uncertainty into Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs). Uncertainty is transformed into a risk-premium, damage-correction, region-specific factor by extracting damage distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451668
We investigate the emergence of momentum and reversal anomalies in a general equilibrium model with complete markets and cognitively biased agents, accounting for the presence of representativeness heuristic, conservatism, and anchoring and adjusting in their beliefs. We characterize anomalies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014531948