One of the problems perceived to be at the heart of the global financial crisis was an amalgamation of various commercial and investment banking activities under one entity, as well as the interconnectedness of the banking entities with other financial institutions, investment funds, and the...

This paper studies the predictability of stock returns using monthly data on eight markets over the period 1876-1913. In contrast to much of the existing literature I find broad predictability across stock markets. Market interest rates and seasonal dummies generally have predictive power, and...

This article aims to discuss two issues relatively linked. The first is an evaluation of the concept of paradigm of T. Kuhn in his representative work: The Structure of Scientific Revolutions ERC, [Ku96] and the complementary version by W. Stegmüller, Structure and dynamics of theories EDT,...

This paper identifies the risks associated with investing in the Turkish stock market. We find that Turkish firms are more volatile than firms in countries that have recently joined the EU (our control group) and that the excess volatility is significantly associated with higher financial and...

The purpose of the paper is to test the weak-form market efficiency in Saudi Arabia's stock market, Tadawul, which is expected to follow a random walk. All share index and sectoral indices for daily closing prices in Tadawul between October 15, 2006 and November 15, 2012 are collected. The unit...

The recent political developments in the Middle East have prompted increased scrutiny of the economies of the nations lying in this region. Over the past few months, the financial markets of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) have been affected by the speculations that existed before the war in...

This paper surveys methodologies on the statistical approach to term structure estimation, also known as yield curve smoothing models. Specifically, term structure estimation methods are reviewed to determine the effects of the assumed functional form of the interpolating function and whether...

This paper models stock returns as a function of three components: a constant expected return, the impact of the mechanism for executing trades, and a rational expectations error. We examine changes in these parameters using Goldfeld and Quandt's (1976) deterministic switching based on time....

The historical literature has traditionally paid much attention to the role of universal banking in the industrialization of Germany and has presumed, in line with Gerschenkron (1962), that the system gained preeminence in the late nineteenth century due to the general 'backwardness' of the...