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Nearly one hundred years after Keynes published his A Treatise on Probability in 1921,it appears that practically no philosophers have read Part II of the A Treatise on Probability in either the 20th or 21st centuries. This simply means that no modern day philosopher is in any position to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842021
G. Meeks's original analysis of the diagram on Page 39 (Page 42 of the CWJMK version in 1973) in chapter III of the A Treatise on Probability in 1976 erred in claiming that Keynes was illustrating ordinal,or rank order, probability measurement. Keynes was actually illustrating interval valued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842299
J M Keynes's two logical relations of rational degree of probability, α, 0≤α≤1 and Evidential Weight of the Argument, w, 0≤w≤1, where w measures the degree of completeness of the evidence, can't be represented or associated with ordinal probability, although Keynes's theory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843351
A major error in analyzing how Keynes operationalized his logical theory of probability in 1921 is to assume that Keynes's theoretical structure is presented by him at the end of Chapter III of the A Treatise on Probability on pp. 38-40, which contains a diagram on page 39 that Keynes himself...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844301
F. Modigliani presented a special case of Keynes's General Theory result in 1944 in his “Liquidity Preference and the Theory of Interest and Money”. Modigliani sought to provide the IS-LM model of Hicks's 1937 Econometrica interpretation of Keynes's chapter 15 IS-LM model with microeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951951