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An Examination of P. Davidson’s Misunderstandings about the Limiting Frequency Theory of Probability, Ergodicity and Non Ergodicity : These Approaches Require that either the Numbe...

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2019

Paul Davidson's technical understanding of the mathematical details of the Limiting Frequency theory of probability and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861031

Keynes’s Major Result From Part II of the A Treatise on Probability Was That, Given That Numerical Probabilities Are Additive, Then Non Numerical Probabilities Must Be Non Additive : Non Additivity Is a Sufficient Condition for Some Degree of Uncertainty to Exist

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858194

On the Unfortunate Ignorance of Academics regarding the Technical and Mathematical Tools for Dealing with Uncertainty Developed by J M Keynes in the A Treatise on Probability in 1921 and in His Earlier Fellowship Dissertations in 1907 and 1908 : Interval Valued Probability, Decision Weights, and Safety First Analysis

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859075

Some Examples of 21st Century Philosophers Who Have Written About Keynes’s Logical Theory of Probability, but Have Skipped Part II of the A Treatise on Probability, Where Keynes Pr...

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020

the imprecise theory of probability long before Koopman's work in 1940 or the work of I. J. Good, C. Smith ,or H.E. Kyburg …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842021

How J M Keynes's Logical Theory of Probability Totally Refutes All Attacks on the Concept of Probability

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2018

interpretations of probability. Shackle's arguments failed completely when confronted with Keynes's theory of logical probability.J M … Keynes's theory of probability is a logical, objective, epistemological approach that is based on partial ordering and not … valued probability, can demonstrate that Shackle's theory is a very special theory that applies only to situations of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933480

Why the Edgeworth and Russell Reviews of the a Treatise on Probability Are So Vastly Superior to the Two F.P. Ramsey Reviews : Edgeworth and Russell Both Recognized Keynes's Interval Valued Concept of Probability While F. P. Ramsey Completely Failed to Comprehend the Most Basic Concepts of Interval Valued Probability

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941103

On J M Keynes's Original Contributions to Decision Making Under Uncertainty : Indeterminate, Interval Valued Probabilities in Part II of the a Treatise on Probability and Imprecise, Interval Valued Probabilities in Part V of the a Treatise on Probability

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943674

J M Keynes's IS-LP(LM) Model Is the Central Message of the General Theory.the IS-LP(LM) Model Is Built and Rests on a Foundation of the Theory of Effective Demand's D-Z Model of Ch...

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945307

The Overlooked Importance of Benjamin Friedman’s Original, 1979 Critique of the Foundations of Rational Expectations Supplied by Lucas and Sargent : The Fallacy of Long Runism (Conditional a Priorism)

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889114

Rational Expectations Theorists Rely Completely on the Fallacy of Conditional Apriorism (Long Runism), First Introduced by Charles Sanders Pierce and Hans Reichenbach in Their Objective Limiting Frequency Interpretations of Probability : No Frequentist Hypothesis Test Can Ever Lead to the Acceptance of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis

Brady, Michael Emmett - 2019

All Rational Expectation Theorists rely on the Fallacy of Conditional Apriorism (Long Runism)in order to operationalize the Objective Limiting Frequency Interpretation of Probability. However, such a limit only occurs in the far distant long run as the number of observations from Time Series...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893664